TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.6b
24H VOL:
$215,176,776
24H TRANSACTIONS:
595,647,402
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,321,740,341
576,656
Markets across
14,624
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,045
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Time left: 06d:07h:53m
World Cup, Netherlands vs Japan, Jun 14, 2026: Netherlands
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Trade on Limitless
At 48¢ buys you 208 shares | Odds: 48% Total Payout: $208 | Net Profit: $108 Multiplier: 2.08x | ROI: 108% APY not meaningful 6 days to resolution
Trade on Kalshi
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 47¢ buys you 213 shares | Odds: 47% Total Payout: $213 | Net Profit: $113 Multiplier: 2.13x | ROI: 113% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolution
Trade on Predict
At 47¢ buys you 213 shares | Odds: 47% Total Payout: $213 | Net Profit: $113 Multiplier: 2.13x | ROI: 113% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolution
Trade on Polymarket
At 47¢ buys you 213 shares | Odds: 47% Total Payout: $213 | Net Profit: $113 Multiplier: 2.13x | ROI: 113% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolutionIntro
This market tracks the outcome of the Netherlands versus Japan FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 14, 2026. Across Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless, and Predict, the consensus probability for a Netherlands victory stands at 48.0%, with a Japan win at 47.5%, reflecting a closely matched contest. Resolution is based on the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Watch for team news and lineup confirmations in the days leading up to the June 14, 2026 kickoff, as injuries or tactical adjustments could shift market expectations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation/no-result handling differs across platforms, particularly for Polymarket's draw market which resolves YES on full cancellation, while win markets resolve NO. Additionally, Limitless uses an extended deadline (July 14, 2026, 20:00 UTC) versus the standard 2-hour post-match window on other platforms.Hero Tip:
Monitor official FIFA communications for any postponement or cancellation. If the match is fully canceled with no reschedule, expect Polymarket's draw market to resolve YES while all win markets (Netherlands, Japan) resolve NO across all platforms. For normal match completion, all platforms align on 90-minute plus stoppage time outcome. Be aware of the Limitless July 14 deadline—if results are delayed beyond 2 hours but before July 14, Limitless may still resolve YES/NO while other platforms have already settled.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket (Draw Market):
Resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.'Polymarket (Win Markets) & Predict & Kalshi:
Resolve NO if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to No.'Limitless:
Uses extended deadline of July 14, 2026, 20:00 UTC for official result publication; resolves NO if result not official by that date. Other platforms reference 2-hour post-match window.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds for Netherlands vs. Japan reflect real-time trader consensus and differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they are set by supply and demand rather than oddsmakers. Sportsbooks build in margins and adjust lines to manage liability, while prediction markets aggregate dispersed information from thousands of participants. The Netherlands vs. Japan market on Kalshi and Limitless typically moves faster in response to breaking news, team updates, or injury reports, making them valuable for comparing against fixed sportsbook lines.
Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Kalshi and Limitless may show different implied probabilities for Netherlands vs. Japan due to variations in user base, liquidity depth, and market structure. Kalshi currently shows while Limitless reflects , a spread of percentage points. Differences arise from distinct fee structures, contract specifications, and trader demographics on each platform. Arbitrage traders exploit these gaps, but they persist because of transaction costs and the time required to execute cross-platform trades.
The Netherlands vs. Japan market resolves on Jun 15, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the match as recorded by the relevant sports authority. Markets typically settle based on the final score and any applicable tournament rules governing draws, extra time, or penalty shootouts. Check the specific contract terms on Kalshi and Limitless for exact resolution criteria, as they may differ slightly in how they handle edge cases or dispute periods.
Key catalysts for Netherlands vs. Japan include team roster announcements, injury updates to star players, recent form and head-to-head records, and tactical adjustments by coaches. Weather conditions on match day, venue factors, and referee assignments can also influence trader sentiment. Major tournament context—such as group stage implications or knockout stage pressure—shapes expectations. Social media sentiment, expert predictions, and betting syndicates entering the market may trigger sharp moves. Monitor official team communications and sports news closely for developments that could shift odds on Kalshi and Limitless.
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