TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a women's soccer match between the Netherlands and Hungary in the first round of the FIFA World Cup Qualifiers. The match determines which team progresses in the tournament. The result reflects the competitive performance of both national teams in this key qualifier game.
The event resolves based on which team advances from the Netherlands vs Hungary women’s soccer match in Round 1 of the FIFA World Cup Qualifiers. If the Netherlands advances past Hungary, the 'Netherlands advances' outcome settles as Yes. Conversely, if Hungary advances past the Netherlands, the 'Hungary advances' outcome settles as Yes. All references to FIFA or the FIFA World Cup are used descriptively and do not imply endorsement or affiliation with FIFA. The settlement depends solely on the official match result declaring the advancing team.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of the Netherlands vs Hungary match. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast event outcomes, especially when incorporating a large amount of diverse information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions for the Netherlands vs Hungary match, and the price movements signal shifts in those beliefs.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Netherlands vs Hungary match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out, and at what value. Traders will be able to see the final result and their associated payouts shortly after the match concludes and the outcome is officially confirmed.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or weather conditions impacting the match could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, might prompt traders to adjust their positions, causing the odds to fluctuate for the Netherlands vs Hungary match.