TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Netherlands (-1.5)
- Polymarket
Netherlands (-1.5) - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 13, 2026
Time left: 10d:17h:43m
$
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Netherlands and Greece, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Netherlands and Greece, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. If there's significant disagreement between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise. However, as the event nears, the odds on Polymarket and sportsbook lines often converge as new information becomes available and more people place bets. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional methods, especially when there’s strong community engagement.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Netherlands vs. Greece match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The market's liquidity and volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information or shifts in sentiment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Netherlands vs. Greece match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources as the event concludes to understand the basis for the final determination.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either the Netherlands or Greece could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, general news related to team performance in preceding matches or broader sporting events could impact the market. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, may also contribute to price movements, as traders incorporate this information into their assessments of the likely outcome.