TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Netherlands vs. Greece
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Netherlands vs. Greece?

Total volume:
$264
Volume 24h:
$248N/A
Liquidity:
$12,475
0.83%
Open interest:
$264
1,502%

Netherlands

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 13, 2026

Time left: 11d:01h:34m

Netherlands wins

68%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 68¢ buys you 147 shares | Odds: 68% Total Payout: $147 | Net Profit: $47 Multiplier: 1.47x | ROI: 47% APY not meaningful 11 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Netherlands

Trade
68%
4%
Yes 68¢No 34¢
2¢
N/A
$58
255%
N/A
$58
1w 4d 1h
Active
polymarket

Netherlands

Trade
68%
Yes 70¢No 34¢
4¢
$4,494
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 22h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
68%
Yes 68¢No 34¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
20%
Yes 20¢No 83¢
3¢
N/A
$71
0%
N/A
$71
1w 4d 1h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Netherlands vs. Greece)

Trade
18%
Yes 20¢No 84¢
4¢
$3,691
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 22h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
20%
Yes 20¢No 83¢
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Greece

Trade
14%
Yes 14¢No 89¢
3¢
N/A
$135
0%
N/A
$135
1w 4d 1h
Active
polymarket

Greece

Trade
13%
Yes 15¢No 89¢
4¢
$4,290
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 22h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
14%
Yes 14¢No 89¢
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 4¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between the Netherlands and Greece scheduled for November 13, 2026. Markets exist for Netherlands winning, Greece winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket has detailed abandonment rules, while Kalshi lacks specific provisions for game cancellation or abandonment, impacting tie resolution.Hero tip: Be aware of Polymarket's stricter cancellation/abandonment criteria, which could lead to a 'No' resolution even if a result is played or awarded. Kalshi's simpler rules may be more favorable to a resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "No". If the game ends in a draw and is abandoned, this market will resolve to "Yes".
  • Kalshi: If Tie is the result of the Netherlands vs Greece professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. No specific abandonment rules are provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Netherlands and Greece, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Netherlands vs Greece professional UEFA Nations League soccer match originally scheduled for November 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If the Netherlands wins within this timeframe, the 'Netherlands' market resolves to Yes. If Greece wins within the same timeframe, the 'Greece' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The markets exclusively consider the result within regular time plus stoppage time, with no account for outcomes determined in extra time or penalty shootouts.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the likelihood of different outcomes for the Netherlands vs. Greece match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $264, with $248 traded in the last 24 hours. This represents a consensus view of the potential results, derived from real-money predictions made by users on each platform. The dashboard allows you to compare probabilities and volume traded across both venues, offering a comprehensive overview of market sentiment regarding this sporting event.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their genuine beliefs with real capital. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the incentive structures of each venue. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and information access. Trading fees, market-making algorithms, and liquidity levels also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform – currently $264 overall – isn’t necessarily distributed equally between outcomes, influencing price discovery. These factors create independent price signals, even when tracking the same underlying event, the Netherlands vs. Greece match.

This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Netherlands vs. Greece match will be used to determine the winning outcome. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body, ensuring a transparent and objective determination. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the match result as the resolution date approaches.

Several signals could influence this market before Nov 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either the Netherlands or Greece could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue might also impact the outcome and, consequently, trading activity. Major shifts in public sentiment, reflected in media coverage or social media trends, can also contribute to price movements in this market. Keep an eye on these factors as they unfold.