TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Netherlands vs. Ecuador
Volume:
$633,177
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Tuesday, March 31, 2026 between Netherlands and Ecuador.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome (win, draw, or loss) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 31, 2026, using FIFA or governing body statistics as the primary source.
Primary resolution logic:
Official FIFA statistics and governing body records; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus.Core resolution logic:
- Polymarket Netherlands Win resolves YES if Netherlands wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; NO otherwise.
- Polymarket Draw resolves YES if the match ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; NO otherwise.
- Polymarket Ecuador Win resolves YES if Ecuador wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; NO otherwise.
- Kalshi resolves YES for whichever outcome occurs (Netherlands win, Tie, or Ecuador win) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Exactly one outcome will resolve YES across all markets in this group.
- Extra time and penalties are excluded; only regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, Polymarket markets remain open until completion. Kalshi follows the same logic, treating the rescheduled date as the resolution event.
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket Netherlands Win and Ecuador Win resolve NO, while Polymarket Draw resolves YES. Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation but would follow standard no-event protocols.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official match completion and publication of final statistics by FIFA or governing body within 2 hours; if delayed, upon credible reporting consensus.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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