TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 2:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Israeli Premier League between two teams. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard regulation time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. Markets will resolve according to whether one team secures a victory or if the game concludes in a draw.
The event resolves based on the result of the Netanya vs Kiryat Shmona professional Israeli Premier League soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Netanya wins, the 'Netanya' market resolves to Yes. If Kiryat Shmona wins, the 'Kiryat Shmona' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty shootout outcomes. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Kalshi. This can lead to odds on Kalshi diverging from sportsbook lines, potentially offering value to informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Israeli Premier League match between Netanya and Kiryat Shmona, as reported by official league sources. The contract corresponding to the winning outcome will pay out, while contracts for losing outcomes will be worth $0. Traders should monitor official sources as the match progresses to understand the potential resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis from sports commentators could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations, potentially driving significant price movement before the Israeli Premier League match takes place.