TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 9:59 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Nepal Premier League cricket match between Kathmandu Gurkhas and Karnali Yaks, originally scheduled for Monday, November 2, 2026 at 1:45 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes. The outcome corresponding to Kathmandu Gurkhas will be considered correct if Kathmandu Gurkhas is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Karnali Yaks.The outcome corresponding to Karnali Yaks will be considered correct if Karnali Yaks is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Kathmandu Gurkhas. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw". The market will resolve according to the team that hits the greater number of sixes in the match regardless of if the match is not competed (e.g. Due to weather conditions)/ Only sixes scored from the bat (off any delivery- legal or not) will count towards the total sixes. Overthrows and extras do not count. Sixes scored in a super over do not count. In First Class games, only first innings sixes will count. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the match is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market will resolve "Draw". If the match is abandoned or otherwise completed without official sixes statistics being recorded, the market will resolve "Draw".
In the upcoming Nepal Premier League cricket match between Kathmandu Gurkhas and Karnali Yaks, originally scheduled for Monday, November 2, 2026 at 1:45 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes. The outcome corresponding to Kathmandu Gurkhas will be considered correct if Kathmandu Gurkhas is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Karnali Yaks.The outcome corresponding to Karnali Yaks will be considered correct if Karnali Yaks is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Kathmandu Gurkhas. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw". The market will resolve according to the team that hits the greater number of sixes in the match regardless of if the match is not competed (e.g. Due to weather conditions)/ Only sixes scored from the bat (off any delivery- legal or not) will count towards the total sixes. Overthrows and extras do not count. Sixes scored in a super over do not count. In First Class games, only first innings sixes will count. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the match is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market will resolve "Draw". If the match is abandoned or otherwise completed without official sixes statistics being recorded, the market will resolve "Draw".
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market's odds are determined by the collective predictions of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each group assesses the probabilities. It’s common to see this market align with sportsbook odds, but divergences can present opportunities for informed traders who identify mispricings.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular team will hit the most sixes, the higher the price of shares representing that team. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that hits the most sixes during the Kathmandu Gurkhas versus Karnali Yaks match will be declared the winner of this market. The final six count will be sourced from official match statistics and verified against reliable sports news outlets to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, particularly key hitters for either team, could significantly shift expectations. Weather conditions on match day, such as wind speed and humidity, can also impact the likelihood of sixes being hit. Unexpected team announcements, like changes to the batting order, or even pre-match analysis from cricket experts could all contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential opportunities before this market resolves.