TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 6:20 AM EST
Kalshi
In a highly anticipated Dota 2 match between Nemiga Gaming and salamit, the first map will serve as a critical early test for both teams. The winner of this initial map will be identified, setting the tone for the rest of the match.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins map 1 in the EPL Masters 2026 match originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the market resolves based on the official result from the governing body.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. It's common to see differences in implied probabilities between the two, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's consensus view of that outcome's likelihood. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the fair value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels, indicates the strength of conviction behind the current pricing. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for efficient discovery of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of Map 1 in the Nemiga Gaming versus salamit match will determine the settlement of this market. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the event organizer, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will be able to view the final result and the corresponding payout on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results have been confirmed.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either Nemiga Gaming or salamit could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about map picks or bans could also have an impact. Furthermore, general shifts in public perception, as reflected in social media or esports news outlets, could drive trading activity and alter the probabilities reflected in this market. Major upsets in other matches featuring these teams could also influence expectations.