TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:06 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Malaysia Super League between two teams competing on a specified date. The result depends solely on the final score after the regulation time of the match, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will adjust fairly if the game is canceled or significantly rescheduled.
The event determines the winner of the Negeri Sembilan vs Sabah professional Malaysia Super League soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Negeri Sembilan, a win for Sabah, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the defined procedures. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each result. As a result, the implied probabilities from this market can sometimes diverge from sportsbook offerings, potentially offering value to informed participants. It’s common to see differences in perceived probabilities, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence how quickly prices respond to new information and changing sentiment. You can view the order book directly on Kalshi to see the current bids and asks.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Negeri Sembilan vs Sabah match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any relevant supporting information on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results are officially available. The platform will then automatically settle all outstanding contracts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Additionally, pre-match analysis from sports analysts, weather conditions on match day, and even public opinion expressed on social media could all contribute to price movements. Unexpected results in related matches or changes in overall team performance could also play a role in how this market evolves.