TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 11:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Nechai Volodymyr and Ovsiienko Oleksandr in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 4 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nechai Volodymyr' if Nechai Volodymyr wins against Ovsiienko Oleksandr. This market will resolve to 'Ovsiienko Oleksandr' if Ovsiienko Oleksandr wins against Nechai Volodymyr. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Nechai Volodymyr and Ovsiienko Oleksandr in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 4 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nechai Volodymyr' if Nechai Volodymyr wins against Ovsiienko Oleksandr. This market will resolve to 'Ovsiienko Oleksandr' if Ovsiienko Oleksandr wins against Nechai Volodymyr. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic creates a market-driven assessment of the likelihood of each boxer winning, constantly adjusting as new information becomes available and traders update their views.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the boxing commission overseeing the Nechai vs. Ovsiienko match. The fighter declared the winner by the official decision, whether by knockout, technical knockout, decision, or disqualification, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to Polymarket’s standard resolution procedures.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in the fighters’ preparation or any controversies surrounding the event would likely cause significant price movement. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, could also play a role, though the market is ultimately driven by traders’ own assessments. Any significant information released before Oct 11, 2026 has the potential to alter the perceived probabilities and drive trading volume.