TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 11:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Necaxa will win its Liga MX soccer game against Juarez. Currently, Kalshi gives Necaxa a 73.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 21.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Necaxa vs Juarez professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by Kalshi. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Necaxa wins within the 90-minute regulation period plus stoppage time on October 23, 2026.
If Necaxa wins the Necaxa vs Juarez professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Juarez wins the Necaxa vs Juarez professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Necaxa vs Juarez professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's worth comparing the implied probabilities to see where the crowd and the books diverge.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Currently, the most likely outcome, according to traders on Kalshi, is Juarez wins, though this can change rapidly with new information or trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Necaxa vs Juarez match will be used to determine the winning contract. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be the basis for settlement. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators could also impact trading activity. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in betting patterns or social media sentiment, could also cause the market to move. Monitoring these signals leading up to Oct 24, 2026 can provide insights into potential price fluctuations.