TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:44 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the total points scored in the Nebraska versus Oregon college football game will exceed 10.5 points. Currently, the probability of the game scoring over 10.5 points on Kalshi is 98.0%. Resolution will be determined based on the final score of the Nebraska vs Oregon game, as reported according to the rules detailed in the resolution source. Participants should closely watch the game itself on October 17, 2026, as the final score will determine whether the market resolves to Yes or No, with final settlement occurring by the resolution date of October 18, 2026.
All markets resolve based on whether the total points scored by both teams in the Nebraska vs Oregon college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026, exceed the specified threshold for each market. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Generally, prediction markets and sportsbooks often arrive at similar probabilities, but they do so through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to balance their risk, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of individuals trading contracts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing whether the total points scored in the Nebraska-Oregon game will be over or under a specific number. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the crowd believes is the true probability, reflecting their collective assessment of the game's likely outcome and potential scoring.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the Nebraska versus Oregon football game will be used to determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome prevails. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent result. Traders holding contracts on the correct side will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Nebraska or Oregon would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analysis, and even late-breaking news about team strategies could all contribute to shifts in the price as traders adjust their expectations about the final total points scored.