TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:44 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Nebraska will win their college football game against Oregon by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of Nebraska winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 64.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Nebraska vs Oregon college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, as reported by the game’s final score. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market resolves the day after the scheduled match date of October 18, 2026, based on the final result.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Nebraska vs Oregon college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. For markets where Oregon wins by a specified point margin or more, the market resolves to Yes if that condition is met; otherwise, it resolves to No. Conversely, for markets where Nebraska wins by a specified point margin or more, the market resolves to Yes if Nebraska achieves that margin, otherwise No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on Kalshi and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Nebraska vs Oregon spread. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs align with the eventual outcome. The more traders who believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price of contracts representing that outcome will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Nebraska vs Oregon football game. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread falls within the range defined by the contracts traded on Kalshi, and to 0 otherwise. Traders holding contracts on the winning side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the Nebraska vs Oregon spread market. News regarding key player injuries for either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also impact the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy revealed through media reports might also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi themselves can create momentum and drive price fluctuations as traders react to perceived information or shifts in sentiment.