TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:51 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Nebraska and Oregon. It covers all possible scoring scenarios, including offensive, defensive, and special teams plays, as well as any touchdowns scored during overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on the first team to cross the goal line for a touchdown, with a separate outcome if neither team manages to score a touchdown at all during the game.
The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Nebraska vs Oregon college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026, with three possible outcomes: Oregon, Nebraska, or no team scoring a touchdown. All touchdowns—including those from offensive, defensive, or special teams plays—are counted, and any touchdown scored during overtime still counts toward the outcome. If neither team scores a touchdown at any point in the game, including overtime, the 'No team' outcome resolves as the winner. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original scheduled time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks and logos belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as the market reacts to news and adjusts expectations. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into public perception versus professional analysis for this event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Currently, the most likely outcome, according to the market, is Oregon scoring first, though prices are subject to change based on trading activity and new information.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team officially scores the first touchdown in the Nebraska vs Oregon game, as determined by official game statistics. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Nebraska or Oregon would likely cause price shifts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s offensive style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups might also move the market. Furthermore, general sentiment shifts based on pre-game analysis and public discussion can all contribute to price fluctuations in this market before Oct 18, 2026.