TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:53 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how decisively either team wins the final quarter of a college football game, focusing solely on points scored in that specific period. Outcomes depend entirely on the point differential achieved during the fourth quarter, ignoring earlier game events or overtime periods.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Nebraska vs Oregon college football game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026. Each market has a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team to resolve as 'Yes'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result from that played game. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, meaning neither 'Yes' nor 'No' outcomes are enforced but rather settled equitably based on market conditions at that time.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each market. It's common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering an edge to informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs about the likely outcome of the Nebraska vs Oregon game.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the fourth quarter of the Nebraska vs Oregon game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports authority. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The final score will be the determining factor for the settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Nebraska or Oregon teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also impact the spread. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as public sentiment shifts reflected in polls or analyst predictions, could all contribute to fluctuations in the market price.