TOTAL VOLUME:
$155b
24H VOL:
$281,012,624
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,001,463,625
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,948,184,939
411,211
Markets across
39,745
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,440
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:50 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Nebraska or Oregon specifically within the third quarter of their scheduled college football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during that quarter alone.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of play in the Nebraska vs Oregon college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. For any market where the specified team wins the quarter by more than the stated point margin, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official third-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of different outcomes. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available closer to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 3rd quarter spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuations reflect the evolving expectations of those trading, driven by news, analysis, and other relevant information regarding the Nebraska vs Oregon matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 3rd quarter spread of the Nebraska vs Oregon football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The final score will be the determining factor for this market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Nebraska or Oregon would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also impact the market. Additionally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ relative strengths could drive trading activity and alter the price of contracts in this market.