TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:47 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in a specific quarter of a college football game between Nebraska and Oregon. It provides a way to speculate on short-term performance during the second quarter of play. The outcome depends solely on the points scored in that quarter, not the overall game result.
If Oregon wins the 2nd quarter of the Nebraska vs Oregon college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nebraska wins the 2nd quarter of the Nebraska vs Oregon college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd quarter of the Nebraska vs Oregon college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own information and analysis. If a significant number of traders believe one team is more likely to win the 2nd quarter than sportsbooks suggest, the price for that outcome will rise, potentially offering better value than available elsewhere. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – Nebraska winning the 2nd quarter or Oregon winning. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on it. The current price indicates the market’s expectation for which team will emerge victorious in the 2nd quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of which team has the higher score at the end of the 2nd quarter of the Nebraska vs Oregon football game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Nebraska or Oregon teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Game-day developments, such as early scoring drives or unexpected turnovers, will undoubtedly impact trading activity. Even public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators can contribute to price fluctuations as traders react to new information and adjust their positions.