TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:47 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the second quarter in an upcoming college football game, specifically analyzing the point differential between the two teams during that period. Each market represents a different threshold of points by which either team could win the quarter, allowing participants to assess varying levels of dominance.
The markets resolve based on the point differential between Nebraska and Oregon exclusively during the second quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the quarter by exceeding the designated point margin outlined in each market (e.g., Oregon by over 10.5 points, Nebraska by over 2.5 points). Only points scored in the second quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The operator disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook lines can provide a broader perspective on the potential result and highlight areas where the crowd disagrees with experts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, leading to prices that aggregate diverse information. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are influenced by factors like news reports, injury updates, and overall betting activity, creating a dynamic and responsive market.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the Nebraska vs Oregon 2nd quarter spread is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official game statistics, and the contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. Traders will be able to claim their winnings after the resolution process is complete.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key players on either the Nebraska or Oregon teams would be a major catalyst. Unexpected changes in weather conditions could also influence the game’s dynamics and, consequently, the spread. Late-breaking news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of buy or sell orders – could drive price movements in this market as traders react to new information or adjust their predictions.