TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points Nebraska and Oregon will score together in the first quarter of their college football game on October 17, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points, allowing participants to speculate on the range of scoring expected in the opening quarter.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first quarter of the Nebraska vs Oregon college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. For any market, if the combined score exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., over 2.5, over 5.5 points, etc.), it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored in the first quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. While sportsbooks may initially emphasize traditional metrics, this market can quickly incorporate new information and adjust accordingly, potentially leading to more accurate predictions as the game approaches. It’s important to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the first quarter will be over or under a specific number. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price differences, creating a dynamic and informative market signal.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the first quarter of the Nebraska vs Oregon game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official score, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome prevails. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring a fair and accurate result for all participants. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the market's resolution.
Several signals could influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Nebraska or Oregon would likely cause significant movement, as it impacts scoring potential. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also affect the game and, consequently, the market. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also play a role. Finally, public sentiment and betting trends in traditional sportsbooks can indirectly influence trading activity on Kalshi, leading to price adjustments.