TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

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4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

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NE Patriots vs BUF Bills: Team Total
kalshi

What is the result of NE Patriots vs BUF Bills?

Volume:
$289,860

NE Patriots over 24.5 points

 - Kalshi

NE Patriots over 24.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 4:11 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

NE Patriots over 24.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$52,154
N/A
N/A
$47,947
Settled
Yes
kalshi

NE Patriots over 20.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$31,922
N/A
N/A
$29,182
Settled
Yes
kalshi

NE Patriots over 28.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,460
N/A
N/A
$16,330
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BUF Bills over 24.5 points

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,942
N/A
N/A
$7,062
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BUF Bills over 21.5 points

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,878
N/A
N/A
$6,606
Settled
Yes
kalshi

NE Patriots over 21.5 points

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,272
N/A
N/A
$8,247
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BUF Bills over 20.5 points

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,174
N/A
N/A
$4,785
Settled
Yes
kalshi

NE Patriots over 17.5 points

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,019
N/A
N/A
$4,864
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BUF Bills over 17.5 points

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,816
N/A
N/A
$2,399
Settled
Yes
kalshi

NE Patriots over 3.5 points

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,358
N/A
N/A
$3,333
Settled
Yes
kalshi

NE Patriots over 14.5 points

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,152
N/A
N/A
$3,075
Settled
Yes
kalshi

NE Patriots over 10.5 points

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,815
N/A
N/A
$1,286
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BUF Bills over 10.5 points

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,708
N/A
N/A
$1,663
Settled
Yes
kalshi

NE Patriots over 7.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,031
N/A
N/A
$883
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BUF Bills over 7.5 points

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,009
N/A
N/A
$853
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BUF Bills over 3.5 points

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$979
N/A
N/A
$979
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BUF Bills over 14.5 points

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$949
N/A
N/A
$939
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BUF Bills over 27.5 points

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76,710
N/A
N/A
$66,269
Settled
No
kalshi

BUF Bills over 28.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,631
N/A
N/A
$13,884
Settled
No
kalshi

BUF Bills over 31.5 points

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,522
N/A
N/A
$7,395
Settled
No
kalshi

NE Patriots over 31.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,129
N/A
N/A
$7,364
Settled
No
kalshi

NE Patriots over 35.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,731
N/A
N/A
$5,729
Settled
No
kalshi

BUF Bills over 35.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,926
N/A
N/A
$3,770
Settled
No
kalshi

BUF Bills over 42.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,489
N/A
N/A
$2,436
Settled
No
kalshi

BUF Bills over 38.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,892
N/A
N/A
$1,892
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 27

Description

This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming football game, offering various thresholds for scoring outcomes. Bettors can choose different point benchmarks to wager on whether a team will exceed these levels during the match.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by either the BUF Bills or the NE Patriots in the Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 4, 2026. For any given market, if the specified team scores strictly more than the stated point threshold (e.g., 'over 3.5 points'), the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the team scores exactly the threshold or fewer, the market resolves to 'No.' All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect others. The official game result, including any post-game adjustments such as overtimes or corrections, determines the outcome. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Patriots-Bills team total market tracks the current price, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different team total outcomes changes over time. Currently, the total volume for this market is $289,860, with $274,794 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of where traders stand on the likely combined score of both teams in the game, as expressed through their buy and sell decisions on Kalshi.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on individuals freely trading based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant discrepancy emerges, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on Kalshi and a sportsbook. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring, and each has its own strengths and weaknesses.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market constantly adjusts to new information and sentiment, offering a real-time assessment of the likely combined score of the Patriots and Bills. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants on Kalshi.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final combined score of the New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts on Kalshi shortly after the game concludes and the official score is confirmed.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Patriots or the Bills would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also shift expectations. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or team dynamics could also move the market. Finally, large-volume trades on Kalshi from informed traders can create momentum and influence the price, reflecting new information or a change in sentiment regarding the likely combined score.