TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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NE Patriots vs BUF Bills: 4th Quarter Winner
kalshi

What is the result of NE Patriots vs BUF Bills?

Volume:
$10,241

Buffalo

 - Kalshi

Buffalo - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 4:16 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Buffalo

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,241
N/A
N/A
$4,356
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New England

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,010
N/A
N/A
$3,523
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$990
N/A
N/A
$955
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the final quarter of an upcoming football game between two rival teams. It specifically evaluates performance during the last quarter of regulation time, excluding any overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on which team has the higher point total in that specific segment of the game.

Kalshi

If Buffalo wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the NE Patriots vs BUF Bills Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If New England wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the NE Patriots vs BUF Bills Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the NE Patriots vs BUF Bills Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Patriots-Bills 4th quarter market tracks the current odds for each possible outcome – whether the Patriots, the Bills, or neither team will win the fourth quarter. It also displays the price history of these contracts, showing how the odds have changed over time. You can see the 24-hour volume traded, which currently stands at $7,883, and the total volume traded to date, which is $10,241. This allows you to gauge market activity and interest in the various outcomes for this specific contest.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what's readily available to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on team performance and other factors, this market allows traders to adjust those probabilities based on real-time information, injuries, or even subtle shifts in public sentiment. It’s common to see prediction market odds diverge from sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges closer to the event. However, both aim to predict the same outcome – which team will win the 4th quarter.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, if any, has the lead when the 4th quarter concludes. If the game is tied at the end of the 4th quarter, the 'Neither Team Wins' outcome will be considered the result. The final score and game results will be verified against official sources to ensure accuracy and determine the winning contract.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Patriots or the Bills would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks might influence traders on Kalshi to reassess their probabilities, leading to price adjustments in this market.