TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the final quarter of an upcoming football game between two rival teams. It specifically evaluates performance during the last quarter of regulation time, excluding any overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on which team has the higher point total in that specific segment of the game.
If Buffalo wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the NE Patriots vs BUF Bills Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If New England wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the NE Patriots vs BUF Bills Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the NE Patriots vs BUF Bills Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what's readily available to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on team performance and other factors, this market allows traders to adjust those probabilities based on real-time information, injuries, or even subtle shifts in public sentiment. It’s common to see prediction market odds diverge from sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges closer to the event. However, both aim to predict the same outcome – which team will win the 4th quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, if any, has the lead when the 4th quarter concludes. If the game is tied at the end of the 4th quarter, the 'Neither Team Wins' outcome will be considered the result. The final score and game results will be verified against official sources to ensure accuracy and determine the winning contract.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Patriots or the Bills would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks might influence traders on Kalshi to reassess their probabilities, leading to price adjustments in this market.