TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

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40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

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Kalshi:

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NE Patriots vs BUF Bills: 3rd Quarter Winner
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What is the result of NE Patriots vs BUF Bills?

Volume:
$24,431

New England

 - Kalshi

New England - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 3:42 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New England

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,332
N/A
N/A
$3,227
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Buffalo

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,895
N/A
N/A
$14,004
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,204
N/A
N/A
$2,438
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points during the third quarter of an upcoming NFL game between the New England Patriots and the Buffalo Bills. It specifically tracks performance within a single quarter, rather than the full game outcome. The result depends solely on third-quarter scoring dynamics.

Kalshi

If Buffalo wins the 3rd Quarter of the NE Patriots vs BUF Bills Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If New England wins the 3rd Quarter of the NE Patriots vs BUF Bills Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 3rd Quarter of the NE Patriots vs BUF Bills Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Patriots-Bills 3rd quarter market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the total volume for this market is $24,431, with $24,426 traded in the last 24 hours. You can see how the probabilities for each outcome—which team wins the 3rd quarter, or if neither team does—have shifted over time. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential opportunities within the short_topic. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how people are predicting the outcome of this NFL matchup.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which may be influenced by factors like public perception or early betting action. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and ensure profitability, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected result of this game.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, if any, had the higher score at the end of the 3rd quarter of the NE Patriots vs BUF Bills game. The result will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective determination of the winner. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of this market.

Several factors could influence the direction of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Patriots or the Bills would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, in-game performance during the first and second quarters could shift expectations, leading to adjustments in the odds. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role in influencing traders' decisions and moving this market.