TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the New England Patriots or the Buffalo Bills will win their professional football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives New England a 56.0% probability of winning, while Buffalo is at 45.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the NE Patriots vs BUF Bills Pro Football game, as determined by the official game results. Keep a close watch on the game itself on October 4, 2026, as the final score will directly determine the market’s resolution.
The market resolves based on the result of the Pro Football game between the NE Patriots and BUF Bills scheduled for October 4, 2026. If either team wins, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, each team’s market will resolve to $0.50. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open to resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market will resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market’s odds are determined by the supply and demand of traders expressing their beliefs about the game’s outcome. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise when forming your own opinion on the likely result of the Patriots-Bills game.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Patriots-Bills game, as determined by official league sources. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the game’s progress and any relevant news leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about potential factors that could influence the outcome of this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 4, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Patriots or the Bills would undoubtedly impact the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as a severe storm, could also shift expectations. Major news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could lead to changes in the market price. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.