TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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NE Patriots vs BUF Bills
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What is the result of NE Patriots vs BUF Bills?

Volume:
$16,121,890

New England

 - Kalshi

New England - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 4:13 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New England

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,887,918
N/A
N/A
$2,854,991
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Buffalo

0%
74%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,233,972
N/A
N/A
$3,794,752
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks whether the New England Patriots or the Buffalo Bills will win their professional football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives New England a 56.0% probability of winning, while Buffalo is at 45.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the NE Patriots vs BUF Bills Pro Football game, as determined by the official game results. Keep a close watch on the game itself on October 4, 2026, as the final score will directly determine the market’s resolution.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Pro Football game between the NE Patriots and BUF Bills scheduled for October 4, 2026. If either team wins, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, each team’s market will resolve to $0.50. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open to resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market will resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Patriots-Bills game tracks the current odds of each outcome, the price history showing how those odds have changed over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $15,016,328. You can also see the total volume traded on this market, which stands at $16,121,890. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and see how other traders are positioning themselves ahead of the game. The dashboard provides a real-time view of the market's activity, helping you make informed decisions.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market’s odds are determined by the supply and demand of traders expressing their beliefs about the game’s outcome. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise when forming your own opinion on the likely result of the Patriots-Bills game.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Patriots-Bills game, as determined by official league sources. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the game’s progress and any relevant news leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about potential factors that could influence the outcome of this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 4, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Patriots or the Bills would undoubtedly impact the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as a severe storm, could also shift expectations. Major news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could lead to changes in the market price. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.