TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 2:04 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Stanford will win the NC St. vs Stanford college football game by more than 1.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives an 80.0% probability to Stanford winning by over 1.5 points, with resolution determined by the final score of the game as reported by official sources. The market will resolve to Yes if NC St. wins by more than 27.5 points. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves based on the outcome of the originally scheduled fixture on Oct 23, 2026, with final settlement expected by the resolution date of 2026-10-24.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the NC St. vs Stanford college football game scheduled for Oct 23, 2026. If NC St. wins, markets resolve to Yes only if the victory margin exceeds the specified point threshold (ranging from 1.5 to 27.5 points). Conversely, if Stanford wins, markets resolve to Yes only if their margin of victory exceeds the specified threshold (ranging from 1.5 to 14.5 points). For any game postponement, if the rescheduled match begins within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve per the updated result. If the game fails to start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the game’s outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each side assesses the probabilities. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a particular outcome – in this case, whether the final point spread will be over or under the listed value. As more traders buy contracts representing a certain outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the NC State vs Stanford game.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the NC State vs Stanford game, as reported by a major sports data provider, will determine whether the ‘over’ or ‘under’ contracts will pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the game. Any news regarding key player injuries for either NC State or Stanford would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as public perception shifts based on expert analysis, could all contribute to fluctuations in the market price.