TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:14 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in a specific quarter of a college football game between NC State and Stanford. It provides a way to speculate on short-term performance during the second quarter of play. The outcome depends solely on the points scored in that quarter, not the overall game result.
If Stanford wins the 2nd quarter of the NC St. vs Stanford college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If NC St. wins the 2nd quarter of the NC St. vs Stanford college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd quarter of the NC St. vs Stanford college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, aggregating diverse perspectives on the likely outcome. This often leads to probabilities that are more accurate than those initially offered by sportsbooks, which may be influenced by factors like public bias or initial lines set by oddsmakers. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes move closer to prediction market prices as more information becomes available and betting action occurs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as this market develops and information is priced in.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likely winner of the second quarter. The current price indicates the market’s collective expectation for each team’s performance.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the second quarter of the NC State versus Stanford game will be declared the winner of this market. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to determine the final outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final score.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected performance in the first quarter of the game would likely cause significant price movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could also signal a change in sentiment and drive price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.