TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 11:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead after the first quarter of a college football game between NC State and Stanford. It focuses solely on the scoring during the initial 15 minutes of play, ignoring the rest of the game. The outcome depends on whether NC State, Stanford, or neither team (in case of a tie) scores more points in that opening period.
If Stanford wins the 1st quarter of the NC St. vs Stanford college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If NC St. wins the 1st quarter of the NC St. vs Stanford college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st quarter of the NC St. vs Stanford college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd' and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced a team's chances, the odds here will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see differences, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring; a higher price indicates a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. This differs from fixed-odds betting, where the odds are set in advance and do not change.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the first quarter of the NC State vs Stanford game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect which team was ahead at the end of the first quarter, as determined by the official game statistics. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available data, ensuring a clear and transparent outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the NC State or Stanford teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also move the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, or even significant shifts in public perception based on pre-game analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations before Oct 24, 2026.