TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 11:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter of an upcoming college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to settle the outcome, allowing participants to speculate on various scoring levels.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first quarter of play in the NC St. vs Stanford college football game scheduled for October 23, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. Postponements are permitted if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, in which case markets remain open and resolve based on the actual result. If the game does not start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the first quarter count toward resolution, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven purely by individuals’ willingness to buy or sell based on their predictions. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated accuracy in forecasting event outcomes, sometimes outperforming traditional methods. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, making this market a valuable alternative perspective.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible total scores for the first quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely result. This differs from fixed-odds betting, as the odds aren’t set by a bookmaker but evolve with the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total score of the first quarter of the NC State vs Stanford game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders who correctly predicted the total score range will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, based on real-world results.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either NC State or Stanford would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's offensive style, could also impact prices. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from reputable sports analysts, and even shifts in public betting patterns at sportsbooks, can influence trader behavior and therefore the price of contracts in this market. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or coaching strategies could also play a role.