TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 8:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the NC Dinos and the LG Twins, focusing on the margin of victory. It allows participants to speculate on whether a team will win by a specific number of runs or more. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game as it was scheduled to occur on October 6, 2026.
The event consists of four distinct markets, each resolving based on the margin of victory in the NC Dinos vs LG Twins Korea KBO game originally scheduled for October 6, 2026, at 5:30 AM EDT. The first market resolves to Yes if the LG Twins win by more than 2.5 runs. The second market resolves to Yes if the LG Twins win by more than 1.5 runs. The third market resolves to Yes if the NC Dinos win by more than 1.5 runs. The fourth market resolves to Yes if the NC Dinos win by more than 2.5 runs. All markets share the same underlying game and time, and each has its own specific threshold for resolution. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the odds here will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a broader range of perspectives contributing to the price discovery process in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the NC Dinos vs LG Twins spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective probability assigned to each possible result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price indicates the market’s expectation of how likely each spread outcome is, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the NC Dinos versus LG Twins game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the KBO league, and will determine which side of the spread ultimately wins. Traders will then be paid out or have their funds adjusted based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual outcome of the game, as determined by the official league results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in pitching matchups, or weather forecasts impacting the game could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance from either team in preceding games, or even broader trends within the KBO league, might also cause adjustments. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and refine their predictions about the NC Dinos and LG Twins spread.