TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 7:39 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the NC Dinos and Hanwha Eagles, focusing on the margin of victory. It examines whether either team secures a win by a specific number of runs, reflecting the competitive balance and performance of both teams in the matchup.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of the NC Dinos vs Hanwha Eagles Korea KBO game scheduled for October 10, 2026, at 4:00 AM EDT, based on the margin of victory. Four distinct markets are considered, each defining a specific run differential required for resolution. If the Hanwha Eagles win by more than 2.5 runs, the first market resolves to Yes. If the Hanwha Eagles win by more than 1.5 runs, the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if the NC Dinos win by more than 1.5 runs, the third market resolves to Yes, and if they win by more than 2.5 runs, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Each market operates independently, and the resolution depends solely on the run difference between the two teams at the conclusion of the game. The rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting these markets, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what's readily available to sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professionals, this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see differences emerge, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. These discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage, as traders attempt to capitalize on the differing valuations of the same event.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final run differential between the NC Dinos and the Hanwha Eagles will be used to determine whether the Dinos win by over 2.5 runs, under 2.5 runs, or if the game ends in a tie. The resolution will be based on official game results and statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the NC Dinos or the Hanwha Eagles would likely have a significant impact. Weather conditions at the game location could also play a role, as could updates on team performance or recent game results. Major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or betting trends, could also cause the market to move.