TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether the combined score of Navy and UTSA in their college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026, will exceed various point thresholds. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of high-scoring outcomes.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total points scored by both Navy and UTSA in their college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each threshold specifies a different point total, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined score exceeds that threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result is based on the final score. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. The thresholds range from over 36.5 points to over 78.5 points, providing a spectrum of scoring outcomes for participants to consider.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly before significant events or when public opinion shifts. Analyzing these differences can be valuable, as prediction markets sometimes identify information not fully captured by sportsbooks. However, sportsbook odds remain a widely used benchmark for comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total point outcomes for the Navy versus UTSA game. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders submit bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. A higher price suggests greater confidence in that outcome, while a lower price indicates less confidence. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently reflect new information and changing expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total points scored in the Navy versus UTSA football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution process ensures transparency and accuracy, providing a clear outcome based on the actual event results. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Navy or UTSA would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting scoring, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could influence trader sentiment. Even public betting patterns at sportsbooks, while not directly reflected, can sometimes indirectly impact trading activity in this market, as traders react to broader market perceptions.