TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between Navy and UTSA. Each market corresponds to a specific margin by which either team could win in the first half, allowing participants to bet on various possible outcomes.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Navy vs UTSA college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins by more than the stated point margin in the first half. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets cover a range of point differentials for both teams, from narrow victories to larger margins, providing a comprehensive spectrum of betting options centered on first-half performance.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. Therefore, you might see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges. It's useful to compare them to get a broader understanding of expectations surrounding the Navy vs UTSA game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with buyers pushing the price up and sellers pushing it down, reflecting evolving opinions on the game’s outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the first half of the Navy vs UTSA football game. The market will settle to 100 if the Navy covers the spread, and 0 if they do not. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Navy or UTSA would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to heavily impact the game, could also shift the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role in driving price fluctuations in this market.