TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether UTSA will win its college football game against Navy. Currently, Kalshi gives UTSA a 99.0% probability of winning, while Navy is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Navy vs UTSA college football game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, as reported by the game’s official result. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve the day after the scheduled match date of October 17, 2026, to determine the winner.
The event resolves based on the result of the Navy vs UTSA college football game scheduled for October 16, 2026. If UTSA wins, the UTSA market resolves to Yes; if Navy wins, the Navy market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, both markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, this market represents the collective prediction of informed traders. It's common to see discrepancies emerge, particularly as new information becomes available or as public perception shifts. Sportsbooks may be influenced by casual bettors or promotional efforts, whereas this market tends to be driven by individuals with a stronger analytical focus. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the game.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Navy vs UTSA game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game results, including any potential overtime periods. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources as the game approaches to stay informed about any factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Key injuries to star players on either team would undoubtedly impact the odds. Unexpected changes in coaching strategies or team dynamics could also cause shifts in market sentiment. Weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted for the game day, can also play a role. Finally, any significant news related to team morale, player availability, or strategic adjustments could influence traders and lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.