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484,805

Markets across

36,640

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2,879

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5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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Navy vs. UAB
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Navy vs. UAB?

Volume:
$14,339,284

UAB

 - Kalshi

UAB - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 10:24 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

UAB

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,219,043
N/A
N/A
$2,209,441
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 20.5

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$330,131
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 43.5

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$35,722
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 31.5

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$18,865
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 37.5

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,870
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 41.5

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,339
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$726
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

UAB O/U 21.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$509
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 23.5

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
3.9¢
N/A
$99
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 39.5

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 35.5

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 33.5

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 26.5

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
3.9¢
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Navy

View
0%
71%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,608,475
N/A
N/A
$2,472,488
Settled
No
polymarket

Navy vs. UAB

View
0%
69%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,403,074
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1Q Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$772,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$488,456
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
59%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66,938
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$57,508
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,620
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 69.5

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,627
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 53.5

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,167
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 49.5

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,758
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,430
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,659
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 216

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of Navy exceeding 23.5 total first downs in their upcoming college football game against UAB. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket and Kalshi indicates a 100.0% chance of Navy achieving over 23.5 first downs, as reported by NCAA.com. This aggregated view combines insights from multiple prediction platforms into a single, comprehensive forecast. Traders should watch the Navy vs. UAB game on September 25th to see if Navy surpasses this benchmark during the contest.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi offers a binary market resolving if either team wins, while Polymarket offers markets resolving to the specific winning team or a tie.Hero tip: Prioritize Polymarket markets for more granular and accurate predictions. Be cautious of Kalshi's binary market due to its broad resolution criteria.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Navy or UAB wins the game. This is a simple binary outcome market.
  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Navy' if Navy wins, 'UAB' if UAB wins, and 50-50 if the game ends in a tie. Offers more specific outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Navy and UAB, scheduled for September 25 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Navy" if Navy win the game. This market will resolve to "UAB" if UAB win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the winner of the Navy vs UAB college football game scheduled for September 25, 2026. If UAB wins, the market for UAB resolves to Yes; if Navy wins, the market for Navy resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, markets stay open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Navy vs. UAB game from multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, total volume across these markets is $14,339,284, with $10,669,308 traded in the last 24 hours. The consensus view, as reflected by the combined probabilities, suggests a strong likelihood of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to note that individual platforms may have differing opinions, leading to variations in pricing and perceived probabilities. This allows for a comprehensive understanding of market sentiment surrounding the game.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Furthermore, prediction markets benefit from continuous price discovery as new information emerges, potentially reacting faster to key developments than traditional odds.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any significant news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected weather conditions could shift market sentiment. Public perception, as reflected by social media trends and expert analysis, can also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential opportunities.