TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 1:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks scoring thresholds for both teams in an upcoming college football rivalry game. Participants can speculate on whether each team will exceed various point benchmarks, offering a range of betting options based on expected performance.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Navy vs Air Force college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the designated point threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception and team news, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see the price on Kalshi move closer to the final outcome as more information becomes available, and potentially outperform traditional sportsbook lines, especially as the game approaches and more informed traders participate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the team totals. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific team total occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time estimation of the likelihood of different point totals in the Navy vs Air Force game.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals from the Navy vs Air Force game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official score reported by the governing body of college football, ensuring an objective and accurate determination of the winning contracts. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the official score is confirmed.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before game day. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Navy or Air Force teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams' strengths and weaknesses could drive changes in the market price as traders adjust their predictions.