TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Air Force will win its college football game against Navy. Currently, the probability of Air Force winning on Kalshi is 91.0%, while Navy winning is at 9.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Navy vs Air Force college football game originally scheduled for October 3, 2026, as determined by the game’s final result. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Navy wins the contest scheduled for October 3, 2026.
The market resolves to Yes if Air Force wins the game. If Navy secures the victory, the market resolves to Yes for the alternate outcome. Postponements that allow the game to start within 48 hours of the original time keep the market active, resolving based on the official final result. If the game is canceled or does not commence within the 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring a balanced approach for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probability of an outcome. Polls and analysts currently favor one team, but this market provides a unique perspective based on collective intelligence. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information access, or risk tolerance among participants in each venue. It’s interesting to compare the implied probabilities from both sources to see where they align or diverge.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Navy vs Air Force game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a trusted source, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout of 100, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements or developments related to the teams involved could also trigger significant price movements. Public opinion shifts, reflected in polls or media coverage, might also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market movements before Oct 3, 2026.