TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Navy Midshipmen vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (W)
โŒ›Ending Soon
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kalshi

What is the result of Navy vs Mount St. Mary's?

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24h
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Result

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between the Navy Midshipmen and the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026. The markets aim to determine which team wins the game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is unusual, resolving 'Yes' regardless of which team wins, while Polymarket resolves based on the standard game outcome.Hero tip: Prioritize Polymarket as it reflects a typical sports betting market. Be cautious with Kalshi due to its atypical resolution criteria.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the winner of the Navy vs. Mount St. Mary's women's basketball game on November 2nd. "This event is for the WBB game between Navy Midshipmen and Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers on November 2 at 7:00PM ET."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Navy or Mount St. Mary's wins the game. "If Mount St. Mary's wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Navy wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the WBB game between Navy Midshipmen and Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers on November 2 at 7:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the designated women's college basketball game. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market stays open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, both markets resolve to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Navy vs. Mount St. Mary's game. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $506, with $59 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view on who is favored to win. Polymarket currently favors Navy Midshipmen vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (W) at 50.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Navy wins at 89.0%. The dashboard provides a dynamic look at predictions as new information becomes available.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook's initial assessment. However, both aim to accurately forecast the outcome of the Navy vs. Mount St. Mary's game, and both can be valuable tools for informed decision-making.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform can vary, leading to temporary price discrepancies. The differing interfaces and market designs on Polymarket and Kalshi might also attract different types of traders with varying risk appetites and information sets. These factors contribute to the observed price differences for the Navy vs. Mount St. Mary's game.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Navy vs. Mount St. Mary's game, as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market. Traders should monitor official channels for updates as the game progresses, as this will ultimately determine the settlement of this market.

Several signals could influence trading activity and move this market before Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Navy or Mount St. Mary's teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to affect playing conditions, could also shift probabilities. Public sentiment, reflected in social media and news coverage, can also play a role, as can late-breaking information about team strategies or coaching decisions. Unexpected developments in the days leading up to the game could all contribute to price fluctuations.