TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 8:36 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Nautico and Gremio Novorizontino will determine if more than a certain number of goals are scored within the 90-minute regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalties.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Nautico vs Gremio Novorizontino professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game scheduled for Oct 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are excluded from all outcomes. Each market has a specific threshold: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual total goals meet or exceed the threshold, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and expert analysis, while this market’s prices are driven by real money changing hands. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a large influx of information or as the event draws closer, offering opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are essentially betting on their predictions, and the market price aggregates these individual beliefs. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what percentage of the total market value is assigned to a specific goal total being achieved in the Nautico vs Gremio Novorizontino match.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result—the total number of goals scored in the Nautico vs Gremio Novorizontino match—will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout based on the market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Nautico or Gremio Novorizontino would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the game, could also shift prices. Furthermore, updates on team formations or tactical approaches, as well as any late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market leading up to the match.