TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 10:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming professional MLS soccer match between Nashville and Philadelphia. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals, determining whether the game will be high-scoring or more defensive in nature. The outcomes reflect various levels of offensive performance in the match.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both Nashville and Philadelphia in their professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for October 28, 2026, after the full 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from goal counts for resolution purposes. Each market has a specific numerical threshold (ranging from 0.5 to 5.5 goals); if the combined goals exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes,' otherwise it resolves to 'No.' The resolution depends solely on the final score at the end of regulation time, with no consideration given to the manner of scoring, team rankings, or other contextual factors. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the MLS or its governing bodies, and all league-related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can stem from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. Observing these differences can be insightful for both types of bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies. The current price indicates what it costs to hold a contract that pays out if the corresponding outcome occurs.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Nashville vs Philadelphia match will be used to determine which contracts payout. This includes any goals scored during regulation time and any added time, but does not include penalty shootouts. The resolution will be based on official match statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome for all participants in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Nashville or Philadelphia teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also shift the market. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed before the match could also cause price fluctuations. Finally, any significant public betting activity or analysis released by sports analysts could also contribute to movement in this market.