TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the performance gap between Nashville and New York RB in their scheduled MLS match on November 1, 2026. It focuses on the margin of victory, determining whether either team secures a decisive win based on specific goal differences. Outcomes reflect dominance in regular time, excluding extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates whether Nashville or New York RB achieves a decisive victory in their MLS match on November 1, 2026, measured by specific goal differentials. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Nashville wins by more than 2.5 goals or by more than 1.5 goals, or if New York RB wins by more than 1.5 goals or by more than 2.5 goals, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and excluding extra time or penalties. The resolution hinges solely on the margin of victory during regular time, with no consideration for tiebreakers or extended play. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the MLS or its governing bodies, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd rather than a bookmaker’s assessment. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. This can lead to opportunities for arbitrage or simply a more accurate reflection of the true probability of an outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different outcomes of the Nashville vs New York RB match. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s depth – the number of outstanding buy and sell orders at various price points – provides insight into the confidence traders have in their predictions. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Nashville vs New York RB match, specifically the spread, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the league or governing body, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results have been verified.
Several factors could significantly influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team performance could also have an impact. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in sports news and analysis, can drive trading activity. As the match date approaches, any updates regarding team form or tactical adjustments will likely be closely watched by traders on Kalshi, leading to potential price movements.