TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 10:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether more than 2.5 goals will be scored in the Nashville versus Kansas City professional MLS soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 2.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported according to the resolution source. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as this market will resolve to Yes if over 3.5 goals are scored, with final settlement expected around October 15, 2026, following the conclusion of the match.
These markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Nashville vs Kansas City professional MLS soccer game scheduled for October 14, 2026. For each market, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if the combined goals scored by both teams exceed the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals) within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Importantly, goals scored during extra time or penalty kicks do not count toward any of these markets. All markets are independent, meaning each resolves separately according to its own threshold. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the MLS or its governing bodies, and all trademarks referenced remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may be influenced by factors like public betting patterns or promotional offers. This market, driven by informed traders on Kalshi, may incorporate different information and perspectives, leading to odds that diverge from those found at sportsbooks. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities, especially as event time approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically. Traders aim to profit by buying contracts they believe are undervalued and selling them when they believe they are overvalued, effectively betting on their prediction of the final goal total. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Nashville vs Kansas City match will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Nashville or Kansas City would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's scoring potential, could also move the market. Additionally, updates on team formations or tactical approaches, as well as any late-breaking news related to team morale or motivation, could all contribute to shifts in the price of contracts within this market. Monitoring these signals is crucial for informed trading.