TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 10:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Nashville and Kansas City. Participants can speculate on whether Nashville will win, Kansas City will win, or if the game will end in a tie within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution depends solely on the result of that specific match, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Nashville vs Kansas City MLS match scheduled for October 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for either Nashville or Kansas City markets occurs only if that team secures a win within regulation time. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the match concludes with an equal score at the end of regulation. If the game is cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The markets are independent of any league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each venue. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently in response to new information than sportsbooks, though this isn’t always the case. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into public perception and potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly. The current market price indicates what percentage of the outcome traders believe is likely to happen.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game between Nashville and Kansas City, as reported by a trusted sports news source. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to and following the event to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or even unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other NFL games during the divisional round could also influence perceptions of team strength and alter the probabilities. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.