TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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NASCAR: YellaWood 500 Winner
polymarket

Who will win NASCAR YellaWood 500?

Volume:
$115

Ryan Blaney

 - Polymarket

Ryan Blaney - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 9:47 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ryan Blaney

View
0%
86%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$115
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Brad Keselowski

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

AJ Allmendinger

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kyle Larson

100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Casey Mears

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Austin Dillon

0%
96%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ricky Stenhouse Jr

0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Denny Hamlin

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Joey Logano

0%
86%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Chase Elliott

0%
96%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Chris Buescher

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Michael McDowell

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ty Dillon

0%
90%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Joey Gase

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Daniel Suarez

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Erik Jones

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Darrell Wallace Jr

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ryan Preece

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ross Chastain

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cody Ware

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cole Custer

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alex Bowman

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Christopher Bell

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tyler Reddick

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

William Byron

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 46

Description

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series YellaWood 500, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series YellaWood 500 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Polymarket

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series YellaWood 500, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series YellaWood 500 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the YellaWood 500 winner market tracks the current odds for each potential race winner, along with the price history of those odds over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $115, and the total volume traded to date, which is $115. This provides a clear view of how traders are positioning themselves on who they believe will win the YellaWood 500. The dashboard updates in real-time, reflecting the latest market activity and sentiment.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with, but sometimes diverging from, traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market represents the collective beliefs of a diverse group of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It’s common to see this market incorporate news and analysis faster than sportsbooks, potentially leading to different probabilities for various outcomes. Observing these differences can be insightful for both bettors and market participants.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular driver winning the YellaWood 500. As more shares are purchased for a specific driver, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with traders constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis. This dynamic process ultimately determines the odds and probabilities displayed on the dashboard.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official results of the YellaWood 500 are verifiable from credible public reporting. The driver who is declared the winner by NASCAR will determine the settlement of this market. The platform will verify the results against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who hold shares in the winning driver’s market will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding driver injuries, changes to vehicle setups, or weather forecasts for race day could cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected performance during practice sessions or qualifying rounds will also influence trader sentiment. Major announcements from teams or sponsors, or even late-breaking news about track conditions, could all contribute to price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of a driver’s chances of winning has the potential to move this market substantially.