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NASCAR YellaWood 500: Top 5 Finishers
kalshi

NASCAR YellaWood 500: Top 5 Finishers

Volume:
$45,386

Ross Chastain

 - Kalshi

Ross Chastain - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 8:29 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ross Chastain

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,311
N/A
N/A
$4,090
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kyle Larson

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,217
N/A
N/A
$924
Settled
Yes
kalshi

William Byron

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$559
N/A
N/A
$416
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ricky Stenhouse Jr.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$552
N/A
N/A
$408
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cole Custer

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$381
N/A
N/A
$249
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ryan Blaney

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,732
N/A
N/A
$7,706
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Preece

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,045
N/A
N/A
$4,023
Settled
No
kalshi

Zane Smith

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,084
N/A
N/A
$1,819
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniel Suarez

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,597
N/A
N/A
$1,556
Settled
No
kalshi

Erik Jones

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,567
N/A
N/A
$1,552
Settled
No
kalshi

Todd Gilliland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,381
N/A
N/A
$1,247
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Buescher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,347
N/A
N/A
$1,315
Settled
No
kalshi

Denny Hamlin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,300
N/A
N/A
$1,234
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Bowman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,196
N/A
N/A
$1,195
Settled
No
kalshi

Cody Ware

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,104
N/A
N/A
$1,094
Settled
No
kalshi

Carson Hocevar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,017
N/A
N/A
$867
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Reddick

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$913
N/A
N/A
$832
Settled
No
kalshi

Bubba Wallace

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$901
N/A
N/A
$858
Settled
No
kalshi

Chase Briscoe

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$861
N/A
N/A
$789
Settled
No
kalshi

Christopher Bell

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$858
N/A
N/A
$808
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Berry

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$827
N/A
N/A
$780
Settled
No
kalshi

Joey Logano

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$801
N/A
N/A
$776
Settled
No
kalshi

Chase Elliott

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$761
N/A
N/A
$761
Settled
No
kalshi

Shane van Gisbergen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$723
N/A
N/A
$700
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Hill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$710
N/A
N/A
$611
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

This event tracks the performance of various NASCAR drivers in a specific race, determining if each selected driver achieves a top-five finish based on official results.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the specified driver finishes in the top five positions of the main race scheduled for October 25, 2026, at the NASCAR YellaWood 500. A 'Yes' outcome occurs only if the driver is officially classified among the top five finishers after NASCAR publishes the final race results. If the driver retires, is disqualified, or is not classified as a finisher, the market resolves to 'No.' The race must start within 48 hours of its original schedule to maintain market validity; otherwise, all markets resolve to a fair price. Official results, not provisional standings, determine outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NASCAR YellaWood 500 finishers tracks the current prices for each driver to finish in the top 5. You'll find a dynamic view of the probabilities implied by these prices, along with the total 24-hour volume of $44,354 and overall volume of $45,356. This allows you to see which drivers are attracting the most interest from traders and how the market is evolving in real-time. The dashboard also displays the implied probabilities, reflecting how traders assess each driver's chances of success.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and sentiment from many traders. You may find that this market's probabilities align with sportsbook odds for heavily favored drivers, but diverge for those considered long shots, as the collective intelligence can sometimes identify undervalued or overvalued outcomes. It’s common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each driver finishing in the top 5. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are those who correctly assess the likelihood of each outcome. The market aggregates these individual assessments into a collective forecast, offering a unique perspective on the race's potential results.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official finishing order of the NASCAR YellaWood 500 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The drivers who officially finish in the top 5 will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official results published by NASCAR, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Any protests or appeals following the race will be considered in the resolution process if they impact the official finishing order.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Unexpected weather forecasts, such as rain, could alter race strategy and driver performance. Driver injuries or mechanical failures during practice or qualifying sessions would also be major catalysts. News regarding team changes, such as crew chief adjustments, or significant car upgrades could shift probabilities. Finally, any late-breaking information about driver health or performance issues, even rumors, can influence trading activity and move the market until the green flag drops and the race unfolds.