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NASCAR YellaWood 500: Top 10 Finishers
kalshi

NASCAR YellaWood 500: Top 10 Finishers

Volume:
$100,626

Kyle Larson

 - Kalshi

Kyle Larson - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

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Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 8:29 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kyle Larson

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,631
N/A
N/A
$13,193
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Michael McDowell

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,907
N/A
N/A
$2,799
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Carson Hocevar

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,678
N/A
N/A
$2,176
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cole Custer

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,122
N/A
N/A
$1,866
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Denny Hamlin

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,899
N/A
N/A
$1,458
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ricky Stenhouse Jr.

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,692
N/A
N/A
$1,582
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alex Bowman

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,616
N/A
N/A
$1,615
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ross Chastain

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,508
N/A
N/A
$1,173
Settled
Yes
kalshi

William Byron

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,475
N/A
N/A
$1,430
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Todd Gilliland

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,040
N/A
N/A
$1,019
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ryan Blaney

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,163
N/A
N/A
$14,779
Settled
No
kalshi

Casey Mears

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,406
N/A
N/A
$3,434
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Dillon

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,159
N/A
N/A
$3,820
Settled
No
kalshi

Christopher Bell

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,700
N/A
N/A
$3,683
Settled
No
kalshi

Noah Gragson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,607
N/A
N/A
$3,512
Settled
No
kalshi

Chase Briscoe

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,685
N/A
N/A
$2,180
Settled
No
kalshi

Bubba Wallace

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,637
N/A
N/A
$2,611
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Buescher

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,603
N/A
N/A
$2,553
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Preece

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,425
N/A
N/A
$2,171
Settled
No
kalshi

Connor Zilisch

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,376
N/A
N/A
$2,156
Settled
No
kalshi

Chase Elliott

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,992
N/A
N/A
$1,896
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Hill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,909
N/A
N/A
$1,658
Settled
No
kalshi

Zane Smith

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,796
N/A
N/A
$1,629
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Reddick

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,746
N/A
N/A
$1,739
Settled
No
kalshi

Cody Ware

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,736
N/A
N/A
$1,323
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

The 2026 NASCAR YellaWood 500 is a major motorsport event where drivers compete fiercely to secure a strong position. This market focuses on whether specific participants manage to finish among the top ten contenders in the race, reflecting both skill and strategy under high-pressure conditions.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the named driver finishes in the top ten positions of the main race scheduled for October 25, 2026, at the NASCAR YellaWood 500. If the driver retires, is disqualified, or is not classified as a finisher, the market resolves as No. The race must start within 48 hours of its original schedule; otherwise, all markets resolve to a fair price. Official NASCAR results are used, with determinations made only after final results are posted and not based on provisional standings.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often include a 'vig' or commission, which influences their odds, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. You may find that the implied probabilities from this market diverge from sportsbook lines, particularly as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially closer to the event date, as traders react to late-breaking news about driver performance, weather conditions, or team strategies. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise in assessing overall probabilities.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each driver finishing in the top 10. The price of each contract reflects the current market consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of each driver's chances. The market depth, visible on the dashboard, shows the volume of contracts available at different price points, indicating the strength of conviction among traders. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official finishing order of the NASCAR YellaWood 500 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect which drivers ultimately secured a top-10 finish according to the official race results. Any appeals or official adjustments to the race results will be considered in determining the final outcome. The resolution will be based on the published results from NASCAR’s official sources, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process.

Several factors could significantly impact this market leading up to and during the YellaWood 500. Unexpected weather forecasts, such as rain, can alter race strategy and driver performance, causing shifts in the odds. Driver injuries or mechanical issues during practice or qualifying sessions would also be major catalysts. News regarding team changes, aerodynamic adjustments, or engine upgrades could influence trader sentiment. Finally, in-race events like cautions, pit stop mishaps, or on-track incidents can dramatically change a driver’s finishing position and, consequently, the market prices.