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NASCAR Xfinity 500: Top 3 Finishers
kalshi

Who will finish in the top 3?

Volume:
$25,604

Ty Gibbs

 - Kalshi

Ty Gibbs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 7:44 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ty Gibbs

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,464
N/A
N/A
$2,368
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chase Elliott

View
100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,982
N/A
N/A
$1,916
Settled
Yes
kalshi

William Byron

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,055
N/A
N/A
$947
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ryan Blaney

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,510
N/A
N/A
$3,124
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Larson

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,377
N/A
N/A
$2,050
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Preece

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,038
N/A
N/A
$2,028
Settled
No
kalshi

Christopher Bell

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,913
N/A
N/A
$1,773
Settled
No
kalshi

Denny Hamlin

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,803
N/A
N/A
$1,636
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Berry

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,678
N/A
N/A
$1,179
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Cindric

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,619
N/A
N/A
$1,612
Settled
No
kalshi

Ross Chastain

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,255
N/A
N/A
$1,254
Settled
No
kalshi

Todd Gilliland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,202
N/A
N/A
$1,202
Settled
No
kalshi

Joey Logano

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$902
N/A
N/A
$893
Settled
No
kalshi

Shane van Gisbergen

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$666
N/A
N/A
$522
Settled
No
kalshi

Chase Briscoe

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$265
N/A
N/A
$265
Settled
No
kalshi

Carson Hocevar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$256
N/A
N/A
$256
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Bowman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$146
N/A
N/A
$146
Settled
No
kalshi

Cole Custer

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$96
N/A
N/A
$96
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Hill

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$96
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
kalshi

Connor Zilisch

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$96
N/A
N/A
$96
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniel Suarez

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
$95
Settled
No
kalshi

Bubba Wallace

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$80
N/A
N/A
$80
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Reddick

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
No
kalshi

Ty Dillon

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

Zane Smith

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 37

Description

The NASCAR Xfinity 500 is a major stock car racing event where drivers compete fiercely to secure a position among the top finishers. Success in this high-stakes race depends on strategy, skill, and a bit of luck as drivers navigate the track to achieve a top-three placement.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the specified driver finishes in the top three positions of the main race originally scheduled for November 1, 2026, at the NASCAR Xfinity 500. If the driver retires, is disqualified, or is not classified as a finisher, the market resolves to No. If the race is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final results. If the race is canceled or does not start within 48 hours of its original time, all markets resolve to a fair price. All determinations are based solely on official NASCAR results posted after the race, with no consideration given to provisional or unofficial results.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the odds for the top three finishers in the NASCAR Xfinity 500. You can view the current prices for each potential outcome, explore the price history to see how predictions have shifted over time, and monitor the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $22,098. The total volume for this market is $25,604. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and identify potential opportunities based on how others are predicting the race will unfold.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of traders believe a driver is undervalued by sportsbooks, the odds on Kalshi will move accordingly, potentially offering a better value than what’s available elsewhere. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts.

On Kalshi, the pricing for the NASCAR Xfinity 500 finishers is determined by traders who are actively buying and selling contracts. These contracts represent predictions about which drivers will place within the top three. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the likelihood of that driver achieving a top-three finish. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a driver has a higher chance of success, demand for that driver’s contract increases, driving up the price, and vice-versa.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official finishing order of the NASCAR Xfinity 500 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The drivers who ultimately finish in the top three positions will determine the winning contracts. The platform will use publicly available, official race results to determine the winners and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official NASCAR sources for the final results to understand the resolution process.

Numerous events could influence trading in this market leading up to its resolution on Nov 2, 2026. Significant news regarding driver health, such as an injury sustained during practice, would likely cause a rapid reassessment of probabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly the potential for rain, can dramatically alter race dynamics and impact driver performance expectations. Unexpected announcements about car modifications or team strategy shifts could also move the market. Even expert predictions and pre-race analysis can sway trader sentiment and contribute to price fluctuations.