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NASCAR Xfinity 500: Top 20 Finishers
kalshi

NASCAR Xfinity 500: Top 20 Finishers

Volume:
$20,079

Todd Gilliland

 - Kalshi

Todd Gilliland - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 7:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Todd Gilliland

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,455
N/A
N/A
$972
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Shane van Gisbergen

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,083
N/A
N/A
$850
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Zane Smith

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$967
N/A
N/A
$957
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Austin Dillon

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$703
N/A
N/A
$703
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Connor Zilisch

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$447
N/A
N/A
$442
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Austin Hill

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$331
N/A
N/A
$330
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Michael McDowell

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$311
N/A
N/A
$304
Settled
Yes
kalshi

William Byron

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$290
N/A
N/A
$290
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Christopher Bell

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
$104
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Denny Hamlin

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
$91
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Joey Logano

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$90
N/A
N/A
$90
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tyler Reddick

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$90
N/A
N/A
$90
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bubba Wallace

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
$89
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kyle Larson

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
$89
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alex Bowman

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
$89
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chase Briscoe

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
$89
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ross Chastain

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
$84
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chase Elliott

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
$84
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Josh Berry

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
$84
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ty Gibbs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
$84
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cody Ware

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,280
N/A
N/A
$1,740
Settled
No
kalshi

Carson Hocevar

View
0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,537
N/A
N/A
$1,110
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Bilicki

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,423
N/A
N/A
$961
Settled
No
kalshi

Brad Keselowski

View
0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,149
N/A
N/A
$747
Settled
No
kalshi

Ty Dillon

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,098
N/A
N/A
$962
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 37

Description

The 2026 NASCAR Xfinity 500 will feature multiple markets tracking whether specific drivers finish in the top 20 positions. Each market is tied to an individual driver's performance in the race, with outcomes determined by their final classified position after the race concludes.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the specified driver finishes in the top 20 positions of the main race scheduled for November 1, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the driver is classified within the top 20 at the race's official conclusion. A 'No' outcome applies if the driver retires, is disqualified, or is otherwise not classified as a finisher. If the race is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final official results. If the race is canceled or does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Official results from NASCAR are the sole determinant, with no reliance on provisional or intermediate standings.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NASCAR Xfinity 500 finishers tracks the current prices for each driver to finish in the top 20. You can view the implied probabilities, price history, and 24-hour trading volume for each potential outcome. Currently, the total volume for this market is $20,079, with $8,506 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows you to see which drivers are attracting the most attention and where traders believe the value lies in predicting the final standings of the race.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and may adjust them based on betting action, while this market allows anyone to express their view, potentially leading to different probabilities. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can reveal insights into how the public perceives the likelihood of various drivers achieving a top 20 finish.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each driver finishing in the top 20. The price of a contract reflects the current market consensus on that driver's chances. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of each driver's potential performance. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official results of the NASCAR Xfinity 500 are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final finishing order will be used to determine which drivers achieved a top 20 finish, and contracts will settle accordingly. The resolution will be based on the official race results published by NASCAR, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before the race concludes. Unexpected weather conditions, mechanical failures during practice or qualifying, or even driver injuries could all shift the probabilities. News regarding team strategy changes or driver performance in similar races could also influence trading activity. Any significant updates related to driver health, car setup, or track conditions are likely to cause price movements as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information.