TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.2b

24H VOL:

$192,072,993

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,842,388,377

408,027

Markets across

40,419

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,369

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
NASCAR Timberland PRO 200: Top 10 Finishers
kalshi

NASCAR Timberland PRO 200: Top 10 Finishers

Volume:
$21,168

William Sawalich

 - Kalshi

William Sawalich - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 11:46 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

William Sawalich

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,078
N/A
N/A
$1,475
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rajah Caruth

100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,645
N/A
N/A
$908
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dean Thompson

100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,423
N/A
N/A
$834
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sam Mayer

100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,174
N/A
N/A
$896
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sammy Smith

100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$831
N/A
N/A
$821
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Corey Day

100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$599
N/A
N/A
$538
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brandon Jones

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$448
N/A
N/A
$431
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Carson Kvapil

100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$320
N/A
N/A
$314
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jesse Love

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$254
N/A
N/A
$216
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Justin Allgaier

100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$106
N/A
N/A
$97
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jeremy Clements

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,806
N/A
N/A
$1,715
Settled
No
kalshi

Parker Retzlaff

0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,162
N/A
N/A
$994
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Green

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$845
N/A
N/A
$645
Settled
No
kalshi

Anthony Alfredo

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$760
N/A
N/A
$754
Settled
No
kalshi

Joey Gase

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$715
N/A
N/A
$710
Settled
No
kalshi

Nick Sanchez

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$603
N/A
N/A
$370
Settled
No
kalshi

Jake Finch

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$593
N/A
N/A
$593
Settled
No
kalshi

Sheldon Creed

0%
83%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$547
N/A
N/A
$381
Settled
No
kalshi

Andrew Patterson

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$542
N/A
N/A
$542
Settled
No
kalshi

Blaine Perkins

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$525
N/A
N/A
$524
Settled
No
kalshi

Connor Mosack

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$476
N/A
N/A
$476
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Sieg

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$472
N/A
N/A
$390
Settled
No
kalshi

Leland Honeyman Jr

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$460
N/A
N/A
$455
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Hill

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$425
N/A
N/A
$396
Settled
No
kalshi

Brent Crews

0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$415
N/A
N/A
$415
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 39

Description

This event tracks the performance of various NASCAR drivers in a specific race, determining if each selected driver achieves a top-10 finish based on official results.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the specified NASCAR driver finishes in the top 10 during the main race of the 2026 NASCAR Timberland PRO 200, scheduled for October 17, 2026. If the driver retires, is disqualified, or is not classified as a finisher, the market resolves to No. The race must commence within 48 hours of its original start time for the market to remain active; otherwise, it resolves to a fair price. Official NASCAR results are used for resolution, with determinations made only after final race results are posted. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and promotional considerations, while this market is driven purely by individuals trading on their own predictions. If sportsbook odds heavily favor a particular driver, you might see a smaller discrepancy between the two, but often, this market offers a different perspective, potentially identifying undervalued or overvalued drivers based on collective insight. It’s a useful comparison to see where the crowd diverges from expert opinion.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official results of the NASCAR Timberland PRO 200 are verifiable from credible public reporting. The drivers who officially finish in the top 10 will determine the winning contracts in this market. The resolution will be based on the final race standings as published by NASCAR and will not involve any subjective interpretation or external judgment. Traders will be able to view the official results and confirm their payouts after the race concludes and the data is verified.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Unexpected weather changes, such as rain, could alter race strategy and driver performance. Driver injuries or mechanical failures during practice or qualifying sessions would also be major catalysts. News regarding team changes, engine modifications, or aerodynamic adjustments could shift expectations. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by pre-race analysis or expert predictions, could influence trading activity and move the odds. Keep an eye on these developments as they unfold, as they could all lead to volatility in this market.