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NASCAR The Progress Group 250: Top 10 Finishers
kalshi

NASCAR The Progress Group 250: Top 10 Finishers

Volume:
$35,887

Carson Kvapil

 - Kalshi

Carson Kvapil - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 10:19 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Carson Kvapil

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,804
N/A
N/A
$1,559
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dean Thompson

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,468
N/A
N/A
$1,464
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sheldon Creed

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,421
N/A
N/A
$1,242
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Corey Day

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,249
N/A
N/A
$1,076
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Anthony Alfredo

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,159
N/A
N/A
$1,071
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Blaine Perkins

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,139
N/A
N/A
$1,084
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sammy Smith

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,138
N/A
N/A
$1,029
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jesse Love

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$758
N/A
N/A
$693
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Justin Allgaier

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$478
N/A
N/A
$439
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brandon Jones

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$295
N/A
N/A
$295
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brennan Poole

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,902
N/A
N/A
$2,754
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniel Dye

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,002
N/A
N/A
$1,916
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeb Burton

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,790
N/A
N/A
$1,327
Settled
No
kalshi

Carson Ware

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,437
N/A
N/A
$1,210
Settled
No
kalshi

Nick Leitz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,394
N/A
N/A
$1,393
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Sieg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,338
N/A
N/A
$1,338
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Staropoli

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,330
N/A
N/A
$1,329
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Hill

View
0%
63%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,220
N/A
N/A
$851
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeremy Clements

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,063
N/A
N/A
$1,057
Settled
No
kalshi

Parker Retzlaff

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$926
N/A
N/A
$915
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Mayer

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$884
N/A
N/A
$865
Settled
No
kalshi

Rajah Caruth

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$744
N/A
N/A
$724
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Williams

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$647
N/A
N/A
$444
Settled
No
kalshi

Mason Maggio

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$639
N/A
N/A
$639
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Sieg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$577
N/A
N/A
$571
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This event tracks the performance of various NASCAR drivers in a specific race, determining if they achieve a top-10 finish based on official results. Outcomes depend solely on each driver's final placement, with no ties or partial credit for near-misses.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the specified driver finishes in the top 10 of the main race scheduled for October 24, 2026, at the NASCAR The Progress Group 250. A 'Yes' outcome occurs only if the driver is officially classified among the top 10 finishers after NASCAR publishes final results. If the driver retires, is disqualified, or is not classified as a finisher, the market resolves 'No.' Postponements within 48 hours of the original start time keep markets open and resolve according to the official final result. Cancellations or failures to start within 48 hours lead to fair-price resolution for all markets. All determinations rely exclusively on NASCAR's official race results, with no consideration of provisional standings.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NASCAR Top 10 finishers market tracks the current prices for each driver to finish in the top 10, the 24-hour trading volume of $31,168, and the total volume traded to date of $35,599. You can also view a price history chart to see how the probabilities have shifted over time. This allows traders to assess market sentiment and identify potential opportunities based on changing expectations for driver performance at the Progress Group 250.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and real-time adjustments as traders buy and sell contracts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on factors like weather conditions, driver form, or team strategy. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of probabilities.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders for contracts representing each driver finishing in the top 10. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective belief of the participants. The closer a driver is expected to finish in the top 10, the higher the price of their contract will be.

This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official results of the NASCAR The Progress Group 250 are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will determine which drivers actually finished within the top 10 positions of the race. The final finishing order, as published by NASCAR’s official results, will be used to determine the winning and losing contracts in this market. Any appeals or adjustments to the official results will be considered in the resolution process.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Unexpected weather changes, such as rain or extreme heat, could alter race strategy and driver performance. Driver injuries or mechanical failures during practice or qualifying sessions would also be major catalysts. News regarding team changes, engine upgrades, or aerodynamic adjustments could shift expectations. Finally, any significant shifts in expert analysis or public sentiment regarding a driver’s chances could influence trading activity and move the market prices.