TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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NASCAR South Point 400: Top 5 Finishers
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NASCAR South Point 400: Top 5 Finishers

Volume:
$30,695

Chase Briscoe

 - Kalshi

Chase Briscoe - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 11:09 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chase Briscoe

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,786
N/A
N/A
$3,786
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kyle Larson

100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,412
N/A
N/A
$2,169
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Austin Cindric

100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,685
N/A
N/A
$1,311
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tyler Reddick

100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,356
N/A
N/A
$1,270
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ryan Blaney

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$681
N/A
N/A
$681
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ty Gibbs

0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,658
N/A
N/A
$2,448
Settled
No
kalshi

Denny Hamlin

0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,504
N/A
N/A
$1,770
Settled
No
kalshi

Christopher Bell

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,439
N/A
N/A
$2,353
Settled
No
kalshi

William Byron

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,419
N/A
N/A
$1,919
Settled
No
kalshi

Joey Logano

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,610
N/A
N/A
$952
Settled
No
kalshi

Chase Elliott

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,361
N/A
N/A
$1,241
Settled
No
kalshi

Shane van Gisbergen

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,331
N/A
N/A
$1,129
Settled
No
kalshi

Carson Hocevar

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,080
N/A
N/A
$999
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniel Suarez

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$979
N/A
N/A
$972
Settled
No
kalshi

Ross Chastain

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$612
N/A
N/A
$612
Settled
No
kalshi

Bubba Wallace

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$577
N/A
N/A
$528
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Preece

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$492
N/A
N/A
$414
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Buescher

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$485
N/A
N/A
$484
Settled
No
kalshi

Connor Zilisch

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$436
N/A
N/A
$436
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Bowman

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$427
N/A
N/A
$427
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Berry

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
$130
Settled
No
kalshi

Brad Keselowski

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$92
N/A
N/A
$92
Settled
No
kalshi

Zane Smith

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
$85
Settled
No
kalshi

Riley Herbst

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
$48
Settled
No
kalshi

John Hunter Nemechek

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 36

Description

This market tracks the performance of various NASCAR drivers in a specific race, determining if any listed driver achieves a top-five finish. The outcome depends solely on the official race results, with no consideration for intermediate standings or partial completions.

Kalshi

Each market assesses whether the specified NASCAR driver finishes in the top five positions in the 2026 NASCAR South Point 400. A "Yes" outcome occurs only if the driver completes the race within the top five. If the driver retires, is disqualified, or is not classified as a finisher, the market resolves to "No". Postponements within 48 hours of the scheduled start maintain market openness, resolving upon official results. Cancellations or failures to start within 48 hours lead to fair price resolutions. All determinations rely exclusively on NASCAR's final, official race results, with no provisional standings considered. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NASCAR South Point 400 tracks the current odds for each driver to finish in the top 5, along with a price history showing how those odds have changed over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $22,566, and the total volume traded to date, which is $30,695. This allows you to gauge market interest and identify potential shifts in sentiment as the race approaches. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the probabilities of different outcomes for this event.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available and more traders participate. It’s common to see discrepancies arise due to differing opinions or the influence of public sentiment, and these differences can present opportunities for informed traders.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official results of the NASCAR South Point 400 are verifiable from credible public reporting. The drivers who actually finish in the top 5 will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official finishing order published by NASCAR, and any disputes will be resolved based on that official source. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predicted top 5 finishers match the actual results.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding driver health, such as injuries or illness, would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if rain is predicted, could also influence the market, as wet conditions can dramatically alter race dynamics. Furthermore, performance in practice and qualifying sessions will provide valuable insights and could lead to adjustments in traders’ expectations. Unexpected announcements about car setups or team strategy could also move the market as traders react to new information before Oct 5, 2026.