TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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NASCAR South Point 400: Top 20 Finishers
kalshi

NASCAR South Point 400: Top 20 Finishers

Volume:
$27,870

Noah Gragson

 - Kalshi

Noah Gragson - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 11:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Noah Gragson

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,479
N/A
N/A
$1,436
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bubba Wallace

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,433
N/A
N/A
$1,377
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Shane van Gisbergen

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$961
N/A
N/A
$790
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chase Briscoe

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$875
N/A
N/A
$791
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Joey Logano

100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$864
N/A
N/A
$858
Settled
Yes
kalshi

AJ Allmendinger

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$834
N/A
N/A
$807
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alex Bowman

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$799
N/A
N/A
$794
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kyle Larson

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$707
N/A
N/A
$503
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ty Gibbs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$602
N/A
N/A
$600
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Austin Cindric

100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$554
N/A
N/A
$554
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Carson Hocevar

100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$400
N/A
N/A
$386
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chase Elliott

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$359
N/A
N/A
$359
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Denny Hamlin

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$342
N/A
N/A
$341
Settled
Yes
kalshi

William Byron

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$337
N/A
N/A
$337
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Riley Herbst

100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$336
N/A
N/A
$304
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Daniel Suarez

100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$311
N/A
N/A
$311
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ryan Blaney

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
$146
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chris Buescher

100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$115
N/A
N/A
$115
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tyler Reddick

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$76
N/A
N/A
$73
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Austin Dillon

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
$42
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Connor Zilisch

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,354
N/A
N/A
$2,287
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Berry

0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,636
N/A
N/A
$1,845
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Hill

0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,974
N/A
N/A
$1,849
Settled
No
kalshi

Cody Ware

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,578
N/A
N/A
$1,364
Settled
No
kalshi

Ross Chastain

0%
60%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,516
N/A
N/A
$1,084
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 36

Description

This event tracks the performance of various NASCAR drivers in a specific race, determining if each selected driver achieves a top-20 finish. The outcomes reflect the competitive skill and race conditions faced by each participant on the day of the competition.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the specified NASCAR driver finishes in the top 20 positions of the main race at the 2026 NASCAR South Point 400, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026. If the driver retires, is disqualified, or is not classified as a finisher, the market resolves to No. The race must begin within 48 hours of its original schedule to remain valid; otherwise, all markets resolve to a fair price. Official results from NASCAR determine outcomes, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NASCAR South Point 400 finishers tracks the current odds for each driver to finish in the top 20. You’ll find a price history showing how those odds have changed over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $13,832. The total volume for this market is $27,870. This allows you to see which drivers are attracting the most attention from traders and how sentiment is shifting as the race approaches. The dashboard provides a real-time view of the market’s activity.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individual traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each driver finishing in the top 20. These differences can create opportunities for arbitrage, where savvy traders can profit from discrepancies. It’s common to see this market incorporate information and perspectives not fully captured by initial sportsbook offerings, potentially leading to more accurate predictions.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official finishing order of the NASCAR South Point 400 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The drivers who officially finish within the top 20 positions will be considered the winning outcomes for this market. The resolution will be based on the official race results published by NASCAR. Any adjustments or penalties applied after the race will be considered in determining the final standings and the market's resolution.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Unexpected driver injuries or team changes would likely cause shifts in the odds. Practice and qualifying sessions leading up to the race will provide valuable data and could influence trader sentiment. Weather forecasts also play a crucial role, as rain or other adverse conditions can dramatically alter race dynamics and favor different drivers. Finally, any news regarding car performance, engine upgrades, or crew chief decisions could move the market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.